[guided]We need to convert the curvature pairing $g_p(R(a, w)a, w)$ that appeared in $(\dagger)$ into the sectional curvature $K(\sigma)$. Sign conventions are the central subtlety, so we proceed carefully.
The chapter convention $R = -\nabla \circ \nabla$ defines the curvature endomorphism as
\begin{align*}
R(X, Y) Z = -\nabla_X \nabla_Y Z + \nabla_Y \nabla_X Z + \nabla_{[X, Y]} Z,
\end{align*}
which is the negative of the "standard" convention $R^{\text{std}}(X, Y) Z = \nabla_X\nabla_Y Z - \nabla_Y\nabla_X Z - \nabla_{[X, Y]} Z$ used in many references. So $R^{\text{chap}} = -R^{\text{std}}$. The standard sectional-curvature formula reads $K(\sigma) = g(R^{\text{std}}(X, Y) Y, X) / (|X|^2 |Y|^2 - g(X, Y)^2)$ for $X, Y$ spanning $\sigma$; substituting $R^{\text{std}} = -R^{\text{chap}}$ flips the sign:
\begin{align*}
K(\sigma) = \frac{-g_p(R^{\text{chap}}(X, Y)Y, X)}{|X|^2 |Y|^2 - g_p(X, Y)^2} = \frac{g_p(R^{\text{chap}}(X, Y)X, Y)}{|X|^2 |Y|^2 - g_p(X, Y)^2},
\end{align*}
where the second equality uses the symmetry $R(X, Y, Z, W) = R(Z, W, X, Y)$ together with the antisymmetry in each pair, both of which hold by the [Symmetries of the Riemann Curvature Tensor](/theorems/2704). Concretely, $-g(R(X, Y)Y, X) = -R(X, Y, Y, X) = R(X, Y, X, Y) = g(R(X, Y)X, Y)$.
**Plugging in $X = a$, $Y = w$.** By hypothesis $|a|_{g_p} = 1$, $|w|_{g_p} = 1$, $g_p(a, w) = 0$, so the denominator $1 \cdot 1 - 0 = 1$ and
\begin{align*}
K(\sigma) = g_p(R(a, w)a, w).
\end{align*}
This is exactly the curvature pairing that appeared in $(\dagger)$, so substituting,
\begin{align*}
f^{(4)}(0) = -8\, g_p(R(a, w)a, w) = -8\, K(\sigma).
\end{align*}
**Sanity check on $S^2$.** On the unit sphere with $K \equiv 1$, the orthonormal Jacobi field with $J(0) = 0$, $J'(0) = w$ is well known to be $J(t) = \sin(t)\, E(t)$ where $E$ is parallel along $\gamma$ with $E(0) = w$. Then $|J(t)| = \sin(t) = t - \frac{1}{6} t^3 + o(t^3)$, matching our target formula $|J(t)| = t - \frac{1}{6} K(\sigma) t^3 + o(t^3)$ at $K = 1$. The chapter-sign Jacobi equation reads $J'' = -R(\dot\gamma, J)\dot\gamma$; on $S^2$ we have $J'' = -\sin(t) E = -J$, hence $R(\dot\gamma, J)\dot\gamma = J$, and pairing at $t = 0$ with orthonormal $a, w$ gives $g_p(R(a, w)a, w) = 1 = K$.
**Why the chapter sign is convenient.** With $R = -\nabla \circ \nabla$, the Jacobi equation reads $J'' + R(\dot\gamma, J)\dot\gamma = 0$ — the *same* form as in the standard convention. Only the sectional-curvature formula picks up a sign: chapter $K = g(R(X, Y) X, Y)$ versus standard $K = g(R(X, Y) Y, X)$. The geometric sectional curvature itself is convention-independent; only the bookkeeping changes.[/guided]