[guided]The geometric quantity we want to compare is $\Delta r_p$, and along the radial geodesic $\gamma$ this becomes a one-variable function
\begin{align*}
m(t) := \Delta r_p(\gamma(t)).
\end{align*}
The reason for introducing the shape operator is that $\Delta r_p$ is the trace of the Hessian of $r_p$. Here $\operatorname{Hess} r_p$ denotes the symmetric covariant $2$-tensor on $\Omega_p$ defined by
\begin{align*}
(\operatorname{Hess} r_p)_y(V,W) := g_y(\nabla_V \nabla r_p,W)
\end{align*}
for $y\in\Omega_p$ and $V,W\in T_yM$. Since $\nabla r_p=\gamma'$ along $\gamma$ and $|\nabla r_p|_g=1$, the radial component of the Hessian vanishes:
\begin{align*}
\operatorname{Hess} r_p(\gamma'(t),\gamma'(t)) = \frac{1}{2}\gamma'(t)\bigl(|\nabla r_p|_g^2\bigr)=0.
\end{align*}
Therefore the full trace of the Hessian of $r_p$ equals the trace over the orthogonal complement $E_t=\gamma'(t)^\perp$:
\begin{align*}
\Delta r_p(\gamma(t)) = \operatorname{tr}_{E_t}\bigl(V \mapsto \nabla_V\nabla r_p\bigr).
\end{align*}
To differentiate this operator in one fixed [vector space](/page/Vector%20Space), parallel transport $E_0=\xi^\perp$ along $\gamma$ and use it to identify $E_t$ with $E_0$. Under this identification the shape operator is a family of self-adjoint maps
\begin{align*}
S(t): E_0 &\to E_0.
\end{align*}
Because $x \in \Omega_p$, the segment from $p$ to $x$ stays before the cut locus. By the cut-locus characterization recorded on the [Cut Locus](/page/Cut%20Locus) page, applied to the complete Riemannian manifold $(M,g)$, the point $p$, and the unit initial vector $\xi$, for every $t \in (0,r_0]$ the radial geodesic is still minimizing and has no conjugate point to $p$ along $\gamma$; equivalently, the differential of the exponential map in directions orthogonal to $\xi$ is nonsingular. This nonsingularity is the hypothesis needed to pass from Jacobi fields to a logarithmic derivative: the Jacobi tensor along $\gamma$ is invertible on $E_0$, and the shape operator $S(t)$ is that logarithmic derivative. The Jacobi equation for radial variations says that this tensor satisfies a second-order equation involving the radial curvature endomorphism. Written in logarithmic derivative form, this is exactly the matrix Riccati equation
\begin{align*}
S'(t)+S(t)^2+R_\gamma(t)=0,
\end{align*}
where
\begin{align*}
g_{\gamma(t)}(R_\gamma(t)V,W)
=
g_{\gamma(t)}(R(V_t,\gamma'(t))\gamma'(t),W_t)
\end{align*}
for parallel fields $V_t,W_t$ along $\gamma$.
Now take traces. The trace of $S'(t)$ is $m'(t)$, the trace of $S(t)^2$ remains $\operatorname{tr}_{E_0}(S(t)^2)$, and the trace of $R_\gamma(t)$ over the hyperplane perpendicular to $\gamma'(t)$ is the Ricci curvature in the radial direction:
\begin{align*}
m'(t)+\operatorname{tr}_{E_0}(S(t)^2)
+\operatorname{Ric}_{\gamma(t)}(\gamma'(t),\gamma'(t))=0.
\end{align*}
This is the exact point where the hypothesis on Ricci curvature enters. Since $\gamma$ is unit speed, $|\gamma'(t)|_g=1$, and hence
\begin{align*}
\operatorname{Ric}_{\gamma(t)}(\gamma'(t),\gamma'(t))\geq (n-1)k.
\end{align*}
It remains to replace the full operator $S(t)$ by its trace $m(t)$. Because $S(t)$ is self-adjoint on the $(n-1)$-dimensional [inner product space](/page/Inner%20Product%20Space) $E_0$, choose an orthonormal eigenbasis with eigenvalues $\lambda_1(t),\dots,\lambda_{n-1}(t)$. Then
\begin{align*}
m(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\lambda_i(t),
\qquad
\operatorname{tr}_{E_0}(S(t)^2)=\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\lambda_i(t)^2.
\end{align*}
The [Cauchy-Schwarz Inequality](/page/Cauchy-Schwarz%20Inequality) applied to the vectors $(\lambda_1(t),\dots,\lambda_{n-1}(t))$ and $(1,\dots,1)$ gives
\begin{align*}
m(t)^2
=
\left(\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\lambda_i(t)\right)^2
\leq
(n-1)\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\lambda_i(t)^2.
\end{align*}
Thus
\begin{align*}
\operatorname{tr}_{E_0}(S(t)^2)\geq \frac{m(t)^2}{n-1}.
\end{align*}
Substituting this and the Ricci lower bound into the trace Riccati identity gives
\begin{align*}
m'(t)+\frac{m(t)^2}{n-1}+(n-1)k\leq 0.
\end{align*}[/guided]