[step:Convert the score bound into a prediction bound]The Euclidean identity for the matrix $X$ and vector $\Delta$ gives
\begin{align*}
\frac{\|X\Delta\|_2^2}{n}
=
\frac{\Delta^\top X^\top X\Delta}{n}.
\end{align*}
Applying [Hölder's Inequality](/page/Holder%20Inequality) for the conjugate pair $(1,\infty)$ to the vectors $\Delta$ and $X^\top X\Delta/n$ in $\mathbb{R}^p$, and then using the score bound, yields
\begin{align*}
\frac{\|X\Delta\|_2^2}{n}
\leq
\|\Delta\|_1\left\|\frac{X^\top X\Delta}{n}\right\|_\infty
\leq
2\lambda\|\Delta\|_1.
\end{align*}
Since $\Delta \in \mathcal{C}(S)$,
\begin{align*}
\|\Delta\|_1
=
\|\Delta_S\|_1+\|\Delta_{S^c}\|_1
\leq
2\|\Delta_S\|_1.
\end{align*}
Enumerate the finite set $S$ as $S=\{j_1,\dots,j_s\}$, and regard $\Delta_S$ as the vector $(\Delta_{j_1},\dots,\Delta_{j_s}) \in \mathbb{R}^s$. By the [Cauchy-Schwarz Inequality](/page/Cauchy-Schwarz%20Inequality) in $\mathbb{R}^s$,
\begin{align*}
\|\Delta_S\|_1 \leq \sqrt{s}\,\|\Delta_S\|_2.
\end{align*}
Thus
\begin{align*}
\|\Delta\|_1 \leq 2\sqrt{s}\,\|\Delta_S\|_2.
\end{align*}
If $\Delta_S=0$, the cone condition gives $\|\Delta_{S^c}\|_1=0$, hence $\Delta=0$, and both claimed inequalities follow. Assume therefore that $\Delta_S \neq 0$. Since $\Delta \in \mathcal{C}(S)$, the definition of $\kappa(S,1)$ gives
\begin{align*}
\kappa(S,1)
\leq
\frac{\|X\Delta\|_2}{\sqrt{n}\,\|\Delta_S\|_2},
\end{align*}
or equivalently
\begin{align*}
\|\Delta_S\|_2 \leq \frac{\|X\Delta\|_2}{\sqrt{n}\,\kappa(S,1)}.
\end{align*}
Combining the preceding estimates gives
\begin{align*}
\frac{\|X\Delta\|_2^2}{n}
\leq
2\lambda\|\Delta\|_1
\leq
4\lambda\sqrt{s}\,\|\Delta_S\|_2
\leq
\frac{4\lambda\sqrt{s}\,\|X\Delta\|_2}{\sqrt{n}\,\kappa(S,1)}.
\end{align*}
If $\|X\Delta\|_2=0$, the desired prediction bound is immediate. If $\|X\Delta\|_2>0$, divide by $\|X\Delta\|_2/\sqrt{n}$ to obtain
\begin{align*}
\frac{\|X\Delta\|_2}{\sqrt{n}}
\leq
\frac{4\lambda\sqrt{s}}{\kappa(S,1)}.
\end{align*}
Squaring both sides gives
\begin{align*}
\frac{\|X\Delta\|_2^2}{n}
\leq
\frac{16\lambda^2 s}{\kappa(S,1)^2}.
\end{align*}[/step]