[proofplan]
We use the ARCH representation $X_t=\sigma_t Z_t$ and the fact that the volatility $\sigma_t$ is known at time $t-1$, while the innovation $Z_t$ is independent of the past. First we verify the integrability needed for the conditional expectations by using independence to factor products of non-negative random variables. Then we identify the conditional expectations by testing against bounded $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable random variables and applying independence.
[/proofplan]
custom_env
admin
[step:Verify the integrability of $X_t$ and $X_t^2$]
Fix $t \in \mathbb{Z}$. Since $\sigma_t$ is $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable and $Z_t$ is independent of $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$, the random variables $\sigma_t$ and $Z_t$ are independent. Hence $\sigma_t$ and $|Z_t|$ are independent, and Tonelli's theorem for independent non-negative random variables gives
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[|X_t|] = \mathbb{E}[\sigma_t |Z_t|] = \mathbb{E}[\sigma_t]\mathbb{E}[|Z_t|] < \infty.
\end{align*}
Thus $X_t \in L^1(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$.
Similarly, $\sigma_t^2$ and $Z_t^2$ are independent non-negative random variables. Since $\mathbb{E}[Z_t^2]=1$ and $\mathbb{E}[\sigma_t^2]<\infty$,
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[X_t^2] = \mathbb{E}[\sigma_t^2 Z_t^2] = \mathbb{E}[\sigma_t^2]\mathbb{E}[Z_t^2] = \mathbb{E}[\sigma_t^2] < \infty.
\end{align*}
Therefore $X_t^2 \in L^1(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$.
[/step]
custom_env
admin
[step:Compute the conditional mean by testing against past-measurable variables]Let $H: \Omega \to \mathbb{R}$ be a bounded $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable [random variable](/page/Random%20Variable). Since $H\sigma_t$ is $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable and integrable, and since $Z_t$ is independent of $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$, the random variables $H\sigma_t$ and $Z_t$ are independent. Therefore
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H X_t] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t Z_t] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t]\mathbb{E}[Z_t] = 0.
\end{align*}
The zero random variable is $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable and integrable, and it satisfies
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H X_t] = \mathbb{E}[H \cdot 0].
\end{align*}
for every bounded $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable random variable $H$. By the defining characterization of [conditional expectation](/page/Conditional%20Expectation),
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[X_t \mid \mathcal{F}_{t-1}] = 0.
\end{align*}[/step]
custom_env
admin
[guided]The point of conditional expectation is that it is characterized by how it pairs with every bounded random variable measurable with respect to the conditioning $\sigma$-algebra. So we take an arbitrary bounded $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable random variable
\begin{align*}
H: \Omega \to \mathbb{R}.
\end{align*}
We must show that the candidate conditional expectation, namely the zero random variable, has the same pairings with all such $H$ as $X_t$ does.
Using the ARCH representation $X_t=\sigma_t Z_t$, we have
\begin{align*}
H X_t = H\sigma_t Z_t.
\end{align*}
Because $H$ and $\sigma_t$ are both $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable, their product $H\sigma_t$ is also $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable. Since $H$ is bounded and $\mathbb{E}[\sigma_t]<\infty$, the product $H\sigma_t$ is integrable. The innovation $Z_t$ is independent of $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$, so $Z_t$ is independent of every integrable $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable random variable, in particular of $H\sigma_t$. Hence
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H X_t] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t Z_t] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t]\mathbb{E}[Z_t].
\end{align*}
The standardized innovation assumption gives $\mathbb{E}[Z_t]=0$, so
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H X_t] = 0.
\end{align*}
Since also
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H \cdot 0] = 0,
\end{align*}
we have
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H X_t] = \mathbb{E}[H \cdot 0].
\end{align*}
for every bounded $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable random variable $H$. This is exactly the defining characterization of $\mathbb{E}[X_t \mid \mathcal{F}_{t-1}]$, and therefore
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[X_t \mid \mathcal{F}_{t-1}] = 0.
\end{align*}[/guided]
custom_env
admin
[step:Compute the conditional second moment by the same independence test]
Let $H: \Omega \to \mathbb{R}$ be a bounded $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable random variable. Since $H\sigma_t^2$ is $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable and integrable, and since $Z_t^2$ is independent of $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$,
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H X_t^2] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t^2 Z_t^2] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t^2]\mathbb{E}[Z_t^2] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t^2].
\end{align*}
The random variable $\sigma_t^2$ is $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable and integrable. Thus, for every bounded $\mathcal{F}_{t-1}$-measurable random variable $H$,
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[H X_t^2] = \mathbb{E}[H\sigma_t^2].
\end{align*}
By the defining characterization of conditional expectation,
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[X_t^2 \mid \mathcal{F}_{t-1}] = \sigma_t^2.
\end{align*}
Together with the first identity, this proves the stated conditional martingale difference and conditional variance properties.
[/step]