[step:Expand convolution powers as sums over intermediate sequences]
We prove that for every $k\ge 0$ and every $x\le y$ in $P$,
\begin{align*}
\eta^k(x,y)=c_k(x,y)1_R.
\end{align*}
For $k=0$, the identity element of the incidence algebra is $\delta$, so
\begin{align*}
\eta^0(x,y)=\delta(x,y).
\end{align*}
This equals $1_R$ if $x=y$ and $0_R$ if $x<y$, which is exactly $c_0(x,y)1_R$ by the convention on length-zero strict chains.
Now let $k\ge 1$. By the convolution product in the incidence algebra [citetheorem:8100], iterating convolution gives
\begin{align*}
\eta^k(x,y)=\sum_{x=x_0\le x_1\le \cdots \le x_k=y}\eta(x_0,x_1)\eta(x_1,x_2)\cdots \eta(x_{k-1},x_k).
\end{align*}
Each factor $\eta(x_{i-1},x_i)$ equals $1_R$ precisely when $x_{i-1}<x_i$, and equals $0_R$ when $x_{i-1}=x_i$. Hence a summand is $1_R$ exactly for a strict chain
\begin{align*}
x=x_0<x_1<\cdots <x_k=y,
\end{align*}
and is $0_R$ otherwise. Therefore the sum contains exactly $c_k(x,y)$ nonzero summands, each equal to $1_R$, and so
\begin{align*}
\eta^k(x,y)=c_k(x,y)1_R.
\end{align*}
[/step]